Eliteserien · Matchday
2026-05-25 17:15:00 · 01:15 · Komplett Arena
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 1-1
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 | -5.4% | -9.0% | -7.0% |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.70 | 3.29 | -4.1% | -3.8% | -1.3% |
| 1xbet | 2.13 | 3.65 | 3.24 | -6.3% | -5.1% | -2.8% |
| WilliamHill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | -7.6% | -11.6% | -7.0% |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.10 | -9.8% | -11.6% | -7.0% |
| bwin | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.25 | -9.8% | -9.0% | -2.5% |
| UnibetVALUE | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.35 | -12.0% | -6.4% | +0.5% |
| Ladbrokes | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.10 | -12.0% | -14.2% | -7.0% |
| Sbo | 2.15 | 3.36 | 3.05 | -5.4% | -12.6% | -8.5% |
| 10Bet | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 | -5.4% | -6.4% | -7.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 3.56 | 3.22 | -8.5% | -7.4% | -3.4% |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.25 | -12.0% | -9.0% | -2.5% |
| 888Sport | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | -7.6% | -11.6% | -7.0% |
| Dafabet | 2.15 | 3.65 | 3.20 | -5.4% | -5.1% | -4.0% |
| CloudBet | 2.18 | 3.65 | 3.20 | -4.1% | -5.1% | -4.0% |
| Cashpoint | 2.08 | 3.60 | 3.11 | -8.5% | -6.4% | -6.7% |
| Coral | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.10 | -12.0% | -14.2% | -7.0% |
| Macauslot | 2.15 | 3.68 | 2.60 | -5.4% | -4.3% | -22.0% |
| MelBet | 2.13 | 3.60 | 3.24 | -6.3% | -6.4% | -2.8% |
| Interwetten | 2.15 | 3.55 | 3.15 | -5.4% | -7.7% | -5.5% |
| MansionBetVALUE | 1.93 | 3.95 | 3.60 | -15.1% | +2.7% | +8.0% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Sandefjord 1–1 Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | 25 May 2026
Result Summary
A dramatic late equaliser denied Sandefjord all three points at home, as Benjamin Thoresen Faraas struck in the 90+1st minute to cancel out Nikolaj Moller's earlier header and secure a share of the spoils for Fredrikstad. The draw felt largely reflective of Fredrikstad's dominance across the statistics, even if Sandefjord's resilience had threatened to steal the three points heading into stoppage time.
Match Analysis
For large stretches of this encounter, Fredrikstad were the superior side by most measurable metrics. The visitors controlled 58% of possession, completed passes at an 84% success rate compared to Sandefjord's 75%, and generated a significant attacking advantage — 108 attacks to 71 and 19 total shots to Sandefjord's 9. Fredrikstad's 15 key passes against Sandefjord's 5 further illustrates just how one-sided the creative output was.
Despite that dominance, Fredrikstad were unable to convert before the hour mark, and it was the hosts who broke the deadlock. In the 63rd minute, Nikolaj Moller met a delivery from Ruben Alte with a header to put Sandefjord in front — a goal that went against the run of play but gave the home side a crucial lead.
Fredrikstad's response was to throw on fresh legs. Benjamin Thoresen Faraas entered the pitch in the 70th minute, replacing Laghzaoui, and proved to be the decisive figure. Shortly after, Fredrikstad made a triple substitution in the 78th minute, bringing on Max Mattias Nilsson and Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem in an attempt to inject urgency. Sandefjord similarly freshened things up, withdrawing the goalscorer Moller in the same window.
The final stages became heated. The 82nd minute saw both Sander Risan Mørk (Sandefjord) and Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem (Fredrikstad) booked for an argument, with further yellow cards shown to Fredrik Holmé (84') and Fredrik Carson Pedersen (86'). The tension underscored how much was at stake.
Ultimately, it was Holmé — despite his booking — who provided the assist as Benjamin Thoresen Faraas drove home a right-footed effort in the 90+1st minute to level proceedings. The goal rewarded Fredrikstad's sustained pressure throughout the evening and prevented what would have been a somewhat flattering win for Sandefjord.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast leaned toward a Sandefjord home win (44%), with the final prediction placed on a 1–0 result. That call proved incorrect, as Fredrikstad's late equaliser secured a 1–1 draw. In hindsight, the statistics strongly supported the draw outcome — Fredrikstad's significant edge in shots on target (7 to 3), dangerous attacks (41 to 33), and overall possession made a clean Sandefjord win an unlikely outcome over 90+ minutes. The confidence level of 57/100 correctly reflected a degree of uncertainty, and the result fell within our projected draw probability of 26%.
Key Takeaways
- Fredrikstad's persistence paid off — sustained pressure throughout the match was eventually rewarded by Faraas's 90+1' equaliser.
- Sandefjord's counter-attacking threat was real but limited, with only 3 shots on target.
- Moller's header gave Sandefjord a lead that looked like holding until the final minute.
- The final ten minutes descended into a disciplinary flashpoint, with four yellow cards shown between the 82nd and 90+7th minutes.
- A point apiece reflects a fair outcome given the balance of play.
Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Sandefjord and Fredrikstad: Sandefjord 2W · 4D · Fredrikstad 5W.
2
Sandefjord wins
4
Draws
5
Fredrikstad wins
Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad?
PredictNext's AI model favours Sandefjord with a 44% win probability — Sandefjord 44%, draw 26%, Fredrikstad 30%.
What is the predicted score for Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad?
The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad, generated with 57% model confidence.
Will Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for under 2.5 goals in Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad.
How accurate was the Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 1-1. The winner call was incorrect.