Transparency First
Accuracy
Report
We track every prediction. Full transparency, verified results.
54.4%
Top-League AI
137/252 winners
63.6%
When Confident
161/253 at 60+ conf
50.6%
Pinnacle
678 matches
252
Matches Tracked
top leagues only
Accuracy by Confidence
Accuracy by League
Accuracy by Prediction Type
Top leagues only · 252 matches. Per-league and calibration breakdowns below cover all leagues.
| Type | Accuracy | Predictions |
|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | 54.4% | 252 |
| Exact Score | 11.1% | 252 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 252 |
| BTTS | 60.7% | 252 |
Probability Calibration — AI vs Pinnacle
How well do predicted probabilities match actual outcomes? Comparing our AI model against Pinnacle's de-margined odds.
| Predicted Range | AI Samples | AI Actual % | PIN Samples | PIN Actual % | Expected % | AI Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-10% | 45 | 4.4% | 51 | 5.9% | ~5% | Good |
| 10-20% | 252 | 16.3% | 274 | 18.3% | ~15% | Good |
| 20-30% | 889 | 25.4% | 789 | 25.2% | ~25% | Good |
| 30-40% | 432 | 33.6% | 355 | 34.9% | ~35% | Good |
| 40-50% | 284 | 44.0% | 231 | 42.9% | ~45% | Good |
| 50-60% | 189 | 51.9% | 173 | 52.0% | ~55% | Good |
| 60-70% | 98 | 62.2% | 94 | 62.8% | ~65% | Good |
| 70-80% | 51 | 80.4% | 51 | 76.5% | ~75% | Under-confident |
| 80-90% | 13 | 92.3% | 16 | 93.8% | ~85% | Under-confident |
Recent Prediction Results
| Date | Match | Predicted | Actual | AI | PIN | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 19:00:00 | Santiago Morning vs General Velásquez | 1-0 | 0-1 | ✗ | ✗ | 48 |
| 2026-06-07 19:00:00 | Real San Joaquín vs Concón National | 1-2 | 0-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 42 |
| 2026-06-06 21:00:00 | Deportes Rengo vs Lota Schwager | 1-1 | 1-1 | ✗ | ✗ | 46 |
| 2026-06-07 00:00:00 | Santiago City vs Colina | 1-1 | 1-0 | ✗ | ✓ | 46 |
| 2026-06-06 20:00:00 | Provincial Osorno vs Deportes Linares | 1-0 | 1-1 | ✗ | ✗ | 44 |
| 2026-06-04 18:00:00 | Lebanon vs Yemen | 1-0 | 0-2 | ✗ | — | 42 |
| 2026-06-02 12:15:00 | Brunei Darussalam vs East Timor | 0-0 | 0-3 | ✗ | — | 36 |
| 2026-05-31 23:30:00 | Cruzeiro vs Fluminense | 1-0 | 1-1 | ✗ | ✗ | 56 |
| 2026-05-31 23:30:00 | Remo vs São Paulo | 1-1 | 1-0 | ✗ | ✗ | 48 |
| 2026-05-31 19:30:00 | Colina vs Trasandino | 1-0 | 1-2 | ✗ | ✗ | 50 |
| 2026-05-31 19:00:00 | Palmeiras vs Chapecoense | 2-0 | 1-0 | ✓ | ✓ | 60 |
| 2026-05-31 19:00:00 | General Velásquez vs Colchagua | 0-2 | 0-0 | ✗ | ✗ | 62 |
| 2026-05-31 19:00:00 | Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro | 1-1 | 0-1 | ✗ | ✗ | 55 |
| 2026-05-31 19:00:00 | Brujas de Salamanca vs Santiago City | 1-0 | 0-0 | ✗ | ✗ | 57 |
| 2026-05-31 16:30:00 | Gent vs Genk | 1-0 | 1-1 | ✗ | ✗ | 55 |
| 2026-05-31 14:00:00 | Bragantino vs Internacional | 1-1 | 3-1 | ✓ | ✓ | 59 |
| 2026-05-30 12:00:00 | Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United | 1-0 | 0-1 | ✗ | — | 50 |
| 2026-05-30 12:00:00 | Tusker vs APS Bomet | 1-0 | 1-1 | ✗ | — | 43 |
| 2026-05-31 12:00:00 | Västerås SK vs IFK Göteborg | 1-1 | 4-5 | ✓ | ✗ | 59 |
| 2026-05-30 12:00:00 | Murang'a SEAL vs Mara Sugar | 1-1 | 2-1 | ✓ | — | 40 |
Methodology
PredictNext uses a proprietary multi-factor AI prediction engine that combines historical head-to-head data, team form analysis, league-specific patterns, and market consensus data to generate match forecasts.
Each prediction is assigned a Confidence Score (0-100) based on five factors: prediction clarity, AI-market agreement, H2H consistency, form momentum, and data completeness.
After each match, we automatically verify our predictions against actual results and update our accuracy statistics in real-time.