
Super Lig · Matchday
2026-05-17 00:00:00 · 08:00

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 3-0
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Match Report
Samsunspor 3–0 Göztepe | Super Lig | 17 May 2026
Result Summary
Samsunspor delivered a commanding home performance to dismantle Göztepe 3–0 at the Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadium. Goals from Tanguy Coulibaly, Elayis Tavsan, and Marius Mouandilmadji — all in a clinical late surge — gave Thorsten Fink's side a convincing three points, while Stanimir Kolev Stoilov's Göztepe were left to rue a disjointed display capped by a red card for Héliton Jorge Tito dos Santos in the 81st minute.
Match Analysis
The opening exchanges were combative, with yellow cards arriving in quick succession for Ali Badra Diabaté (30') and Göztepe's Juan Santos da Silva (32') for fouls. Despite the early tension, it was Samsunspor who broke the deadlock, as Tanguy Coulibaly converted a left-footed finish on 36 minutes, assisted by Marius Mouandilmadji, to give the hosts a deserved half-time lead.
The statistics tell an interesting story. Göztepe dominated in raw attacking volume, registering 22 total shots to Samsunspor's 14 and recording 53 dangerous attacks versus the home side's 25. Yet Thorsten Fink's team were far more efficient in front of goal — 9 shots on target from 14 attempts, compared to Göztepe's 5 from 22. Samsunspor also controlled the ball with 62% possession, maintaining composure and passing accuracy of 79% versus Göztepe's 70%.
A VAR decision involving Arda Okan Kurtulan at the 51' mark added further controversy to what was already a feisty contest. The second half saw double bookings for Anthony Junior Dennis and Antoine Makoumbou (both 61') following an argument, tightening the atmosphere further. As Göztepe pushed for an equaliser, they left themselves increasingly exposed — and the turning point came in the 81st minute when Héliton Jorge Tito dos Santos was dismissed for violent conduct, effectively ending any realistic hope of a comeback.
Samsunspor made the most of their numerical advantage immediately. Elayis Tavsan struck in the 85th minute with a left-footed finish, again assisted by the impressive Mouandilmadji, before the Chadian forward rounded off a fine personal display by scoring himself in the 89th minute — this time set up by Tavsan — to complete a dominant scoreline.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match analysis favoured a Göztepe victory (43% probability vs 30% for a home win), and the forecast proved incorrect. With a confidence rating of only 54/100, uncertainty was already acknowledged, but the outcome was nonetheless a notable swing. Göztepe's superior shot volume might seem to support the pre-match logic, but clinical finishing and defensive resilience ultimately defined this contest. Samsunspor's ability to convert 9 of 14 shots on target into three goals highlights how raw attacking statistics can be misleading without accounting for shot quality and game state.
Key Takeaways
- Marius Mouandilmadji was the standout performer, contributing two assists and a goal to drive the result.
- Göztepe's Héliton Jorge Tito dos Santos' red card proved fatal to any hope of a revival at 0–1 down.
- Samsunspor's efficiency in front of goal was the decisive factor despite being outshot overall.
- Thorsten Fink's side demonstrated strong game management, converting pressure into a convincing scoreline in the final stages.
Samsunspor vs Göztepe — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Samsunspor vs Göztepe?
PredictNext's AI model favours Göztepe (also known as Goztepe) with a 43% win probability — Samsunspor 30%, draw 27%, Göztepe 43%.
What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Göztepe?
The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Samsunspor vs Göztepe, generated with 54% model confidence.
Will Samsunspor vs Göztepe have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Samsunspor vs Göztepe.
How accurate was the Samsunspor vs Göztepe prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 3-0. The winner call was incorrect.