
Super Lig · Matchday
2026-05-17 00:00:00 · 08:00

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 2-2
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Match Report
Rizespor 2–2 Beşiktaş | Super Lig | 17 May 2026
Result Summary
A dramatic afternoon at Rizespor's ground ended in a share of the spoils, as Beşiktaş fought back from two goals down to rescue a 2–2 draw. Ali Sowe's brace in the first half had Rizespor dreaming of a famous win, but a transformed Beşiktaş side after the interval — aided by a triple substitution at half-time — clawed their way back through João Pedro Ferreira Silva and Václav Černý to deny the hosts all three points.
Match Analysis
Rizespor made the brighter start and were rewarded with an opening goal in the 18th minute, when Ali Sowe converted a left-foot finish following a fine assist from Modibo Sagnan. The home side doubled their advantage just before the half-hour mark as Sowe completed his brace with a header at the 31st minute, this time set up by Adedire Mebude. It was a commanding first-half display from Recep Uçar's side, and the statistics reflected a genuinely competitive contest — Rizespor finishing the game with 47% possession to Beşiktaş's 53%, while both teams generated remarkable shot volumes, with Rizespor registering 22 shots total and Beşiktaş 23.
Beşiktaş were not without problems in the first half, with three yellow cards shown to their players — Emmanuel Agbadou in the 14th minute, Cengiz Ünder in the 33rd, and Wilfred Ndidi in the 37th — reflecting an undisciplined and frustrated approach. Coach Ali Rıza Sergen Yalçın responded decisively at the break, introducing Václav Černý, Junior Olaitan, and João Pedro Ferreira Silva simultaneously, completely reshaping Beşiktaş's attacking output.
The changes proved immediately effective. João Pedro Ferreira Silva halved the deficit in the 55th minute, finishing from a precise assist by Orkun Kökçü. Seven minutes later, Černý levelled with a left-foot strike, assisted by Junior Olaitan, completing a remarkable comeback. Despite Rizespor's numerical advantage early in the game, the turning point came in the 73rd minute when an unnamed Rizespor player received a red card for an argument, reducing the hosts to ten men. Even so, Beşiktaş could not find a winner, finishing with 9 shots on target to Rizespor's 5, and the contest ended all square. A late VAR check involving İbrahim Halil Dervişoğlu in the 90th minute added late drama but did not change the outcome.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast leaned toward a Beşiktaş away victory (45% probability), with the draw assigned a 25% likelihood and a home win at 30%. The prediction reflected a reasonable expectation of Beşiktaş's quality, and their second-half response did validate their pedigree. However, Ali Sowe's emphatic first-half double and Rizespor's overall resilience — particularly their 22 total shots and 8 corners — underscored that the home side were underestimated. The prediction was marked incorrect, and with a confidence level of just 57/100, the uncertainty in this fixture was rightly acknowledged. The draw outcome fell within the realm of plausibility but was ultimately not our primary call.
Key Takeaways
- Ali Sowe was the standout performer, producing a first-half brace that put Rizespor firmly in control.
- Beşiktaş's triple substitution at half-time was a pivotal tactical decision that completely altered the match's trajectory.
- Beşiktaş's disciplinary issues in the first half — three yellows — contributed to their disjointed early performance.
- Rizespor's red card in the 73rd minute ultimately cost them the victory despite their two-goal lead.
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Rizespor vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Rizespor and Beşiktaş: Rizespor 3W · 8D · Beşiktaş 17W.
3
Rizespor wins
8
Draws
17
Beşiktaş wins
Rizespor vs Beşiktaş — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rizespor vs Beşiktaş?
PredictNext's AI model favours Beşiktaş (also known as Besiktas) with a 45% win probability — Rizespor 30%, draw 25%, Beşiktaş 45%.
What is the predicted score for Rizespor vs Beşiktaş?
The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Rizespor vs Beşiktaş, generated with 57% model confidence.
Will Rizespor vs Beşiktaş have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Rizespor vs Beşiktaş.
How accurate was the Rizespor vs Beşiktaş prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 2-2. The winner call was incorrect.