Rangers 1–2 Hibernian | Scottish Premiership | 13 May 2026

Result Summary

In a result that will send shockwaves through the Scottish Premiership, Hibernian claimed a stunning 2–1 victory at Ibrox, defeating Rangers thanks to an early Martin Boyle opener and a dramatic late Dane Scarlett winner. Danny Röhl's side dominated proceedings statistically but were ultimately punished by clinical Hibernian finishing on the counter, with David Gray's men delivering one of the more surprising results of the season.

Match Analysis

Hibernian could not have asked for a better start. Martin Boyle struck in just the fifth minute, finishing with his right foot from a Jordan Obita assist, to give the visitors an immediate platform to defend. That early blow set the tone for what would become a disciplined, resolute Hibernian defensive display throughout the evening.

Rangers responded by throwing everything at their opponents. The statistics tell a remarkable story of one-sided dominance: 72% possession, 21 total shots compared to Hibernian's 8, 16 key passes versus 4, and 117 attacks to 52. Nine corners were earned, and Rangers registered 7 shots on target to Hibernian's 4. By almost every measurable metric, Röhl's side were the superior team — yet the scoreline refused to reflect it.

Thelo Aasgaard drew Rangers level on 41 minutes with a right-footed effort, and the equaliser arrived at a moment when momentum appeared to be building. Warren O'Hora had picked up a yellow card for Hibernian just two minutes prior, suggesting the visitors were feeling the pressure. That leveller sent Rangers into the break with genuine belief.

The second half saw a flurry of changes from both benches. Bojan Miovski was introduced by Rangers on 63 minutes in search of a decisive moment, while David Gray reshaped his side with multiple substitutions after the hour mark. Despite Connor Barron and Nasser Yacouba Djiga picking up yellows for Rangers in the second period — reflecting a growing desperation to break through — Hibernian held their shape admirably.

Then came the sucker punch. In the 89th minute, substitute Dane Scarlett — on the pitch just 11 minutes — converted from a Felix Passlack assist to seal a breathtaking victory for Hibernian. It was the definition of clinical counter-attacking football: gift the opposition the ball, absorb the pressure, and strike when it matters most.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast identified Rangers as favourites with a 57% probability of a home win, projecting a 2–1 scoreline in their favour. The prediction carried a modest confidence rating of 59/100, reflecting some uncertainty. While the scoreline of 2–1 proved correct, the result was inverted — the prediction was ultimately incorrect. The statistical dominance of Rangers aligned with the forecast's reasoning, but Hibernian's efficiency in front of goal and defensive resilience on the night defied the expected outcome. It serves as a reminder that possession and attack metrics, while indicative, do not guarantee results.

Key Takeaways

• Hibernian's efficiency was extraordinary: 4 shots on target yielding 2 goals, while Rangers managed 7 without finding a winner.
• Martin Boyle and Dane Scarlett proved decisive — the latter's late cameo was the difference-maker in the end.
• Rangers' 92% passing accuracy and 16 key passes speak to quality in build-up, but a lack of ruthlessness in front of goal proved fatal.
• David Gray's tactical discipline in managing possession at just 28% and still emerging victorious is a significant achievement.
• For Danny Röhl, converting dominance into goals remains an area requiring urgent attention.