Porto
Porto
1 vs 0

Liga Portugal · Matchday

2026-05-17 00:00:00 · 08:00

Santa Clara
Santa Clara

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 1-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Porto
POR
1 - 0
Santa Clara
SAN
70%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
74.0%Home
17.0%Draw
9.0%Away
Porto enter this Liga Portugal clash as heavy favorites, bolstered by a dominant H2H record of four wins from the last five meetings against Santa Clara, while visitors must navigate the absence of D. Prpić through suspension. Porto's structural superiority at home should allow them to control the midfield and limit Santa Clara's attacking outlets. AI pick: Porto Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
91% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
58% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
68% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Porto Santa Clara
0%
65%
0
41%
35%
1
48%
0%
2
11%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

74%
76%
-1.7%
17%
16%
+1.1%
9%
8%
+0.6%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Porto Edge Past Santa Clara With Late Own Goal

Porto secured a narrow but deserved 1-0 victory over Santa Clara at home in Liga Portugal on May 17, 2026, with the decisive moment arriving in the 69th minute via an unfortunate own goal from Sidney Alexssander Pena De Lima. The result, while tight on the scoreboard, was largely reflective of Porto's dominance throughout the contest under coach Francesco Farioli.

Match Analysis

From the outset, Porto controlled the tempo and territory of the match. Porto registered 110 attacks to Santa Clara's 53, and their 56 dangerous attacks compared to just 31 from the visitors tells a story of sustained pressure and offensive intent. With 53% ball possession, Farioli's side were not overwhelming in terms of control, but they were considerably more efficient with their opportunities.

The most telling statistic of the evening was Porto's 6 shots on target against Santa Clara's zero. Santa Clara managed 11 total shots — actually only two fewer than Porto's 14 — but Armando Gonçalves Teixeira's side struggled to seriously threaten goal, with 8 of their attempts sailing off target. Porto, meanwhile, converted the quality of their chances far more convincingly, and the home side's pressure was ultimately rewarded midway through the second half when De Lima turned the ball into his own net, handing Porto the lead they had been working toward.

Porto also held advantages in corners (8 vs 5) and key passes (10 vs 7), underscoring their greater creative output. Both sides were relatively disciplined in their approach, with Porto committing 11 fouls to Santa Clara's 9.

The substitution board was busy in the second half. Porto made several changes from the 56th minute onward, with Oskar Pietuszewski and Gabriel Veiga Novas entering the fray, followed later by João Paulo Santos da Costa, Nehuén Pérez, and Bernardo Pinto Lima. Santa Clara were equally active in their rotations, introducing Elias Manoel Alves de Paula, Vinicius Lopes da Silva, Isaac Souza Valença, and Lucas Soares de Almeida in the second period. Despite the flurry of changes from both benches, the scoreline remained unchanged, with Porto managing their slender advantage effectively through to the final whistle.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match analysis correctly forecast a 1-0 Porto victory, with a 74% probability assigned to a home win and a confidence rating of 70/100. Porto's statistical superiority on the night — particularly in attacks, shots on target, and key passes — validated the reasoning behind that prediction. Santa Clara's inability to register a single effort on target made it difficult to envisage them taking anything from the game, and the prediction proved accurate.

Key Takeaways

  • Porto's offensive dominance was clear across virtually every attacking metric, even if the winning goal came via an own goal rather than a clinical finish.
  • Santa Clara's attacking output was muted, with zero shots on target being the defining defensive success for Porto and a critical failure for the visitors.
  • Francesco Farioli's side demonstrated the ability to manage a match and see out a result professionally, making smart use of their substitutions.
  • The result continues to underline Porto's home strength in Liga Portugal, where their ability to control games through superior attacking volume proves decisive.

Porto vs Santa Clara Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Porto and Santa Clara: Porto 11W · 2D · Santa Clara 0W.

11

2

0

Sun, Jan 4, 2026Santa Clara0-1Porto
Sun, Jan 26, 2025Porto1-1Santa Clara
Fri, Aug 16, 2024Santa Clara0-2Porto
Sat, Apr 15, 2023Porto2-1Santa Clara
Sat, Oct 29, 2022Santa Clara1-1Porto

Porto vs Santa Clara — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Porto vs Santa Clara?

PredictNext's AI model favours Porto with a 74% win probability — Porto 74%, draw 17%, Santa Clara 9%.

What is the predicted score for Porto vs Santa Clara?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Porto vs Santa Clara, generated with 70% model confidence.

Will Porto vs Santa Clara have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in Porto vs Santa Clara.

How accurate was the Porto vs Santa Clara prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 1-0. The winner call was correct.

More Liga Portugal AI Predictions