Pisa
Pisa
0 vs 3

Serie A · Matchday

2026-05-17 00:00:00 · 08:00

Napoli
Napoli

AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 0-3

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Pisa
PIS
0 - 2
Napoli
NAP
71%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
10.5%Home
19.5%Draw
70.0%Away
13.7%Home
19.8%Draw
66.5%Away
Napoli enter as heavy favorites against Pisa, backed by a dominant H2H record and superior Serie A standing — though Pisa benefit from F. Loyola's absence being on the opposing side. The key matchup lies in Napoli's attacking midfield exploiting a Pisa backline that may struggle without defensive cover. AI pick: Napoli Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredDraw or Away
90% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
52% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Pisa Napoli
66%
0%
0
34%
37%
1
0%
48%
2
0%
15%
3+

Odds Comparison

11%
11%
-0.3%
19%
18%
+1.3%
70%
71%
-0.9%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win

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Match Report

Pisa 0–3 Napoli | Serie A | 17 May 2026

Result Summary

Antonio Conte's Napoli delivered a commanding away performance at the Arena Garibaldi, dismantling Pisa 3–0 to secure all three points with minimal fuss. Goals from Scott McTominay, Amir Rrahmani, and late substitute Rasmus Højlund sealed a dominant victory that was rarely in doubt from the first quarter-hour onwards.

Match Analysis

Napoli controlled proceedings from the opening whistle, and the statistics paint an unambiguous picture of their superiority. Napoli commanded 76% possession against Pisa's 24%, completing passes at a 92% success rate compared to Pisa's 72%. The visitors launched 147 attacks to Pisa's 49 and created 47 dangerous attacks versus just 17 from the hosts — a gulf in class that manifested directly on the scoreboard.

The deadlock was broken in the 21st minute when Scott McTominay converted with a right-foot finish, assisted by Rasmus Højlund, showcasing the fluid interplay Conte's side had been building throughout the early exchanges. The lead was quickly doubled just six minutes later when Amir Rrahmani powered home a header from an Eljif Elmas delivery, effectively extinguishing any hope of a Pisa comeback before the half-hour mark.

Oscar Hiljemark's side offered very little in response. Pisa managed just 4 total shots — only 2 on target — and a solitary corner throughout the entire match. Their defensive structure was repeatedly exposed, conceding 6 corners and facing 5 shots on target from the visitors. The 13 fouls committed by Pisa also reflected the physical strain of a team trying to cope with relentless pressure.

The afternoon's flash point arrived in the 53rd minute, when both Arturo Calabresi (Pisa) and Eljif Elmas (Napoli) were booked following an argument, adding a brief moment of friction to what was otherwise a one-sided encounter. Conte then rotated his squad, introducing Kevin De Bruyne for Elmas in the 59th minute — a luxury only available to a side already well in control. Pisa responded with a wave of substitutions of their own, bringing on Juan Guillermo Cuadrado Bello, İsak Vural, and others, but the changes yielded no improvement in their output.

The third goal arrived in second-half stoppage time, with Rasmus Højlund — who had assisted the opener — completing the rout with a composed left-foot finish from a Pasquale Mazzocchi assist, capping a thoroughly professional away display.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Napoli win by 0–2, assigning a 70% probability to an away victory with a confidence rating of 71/100. The outcome was correct — Napoli did win convincingly — though the final margin of 3–0 exceeded our predicted scoreline. The dominant possession figures and attacking volume Napoli produced were consistent with the reasoning behind our forecast, validating the underlying analysis even if the exact score ran slightly beyond expectations.

Key Takeaways

  • Napoli's control was total: a 76%–24% possession split and 147 attacks underline just how one-sided this fixture was.
  • McTominay and Rrahmani struck early to kill the contest, giving Pisa no foothold from which to build.
  • Pisa's attacking output was critically low — 4 shots and 1 corner is simply insufficient against top-quality opposition.
  • Conte's ability to rotate with players of De Bruyne's calibre mid-game speaks to the squad depth at Napoli's disposal.
  • Our away win prediction landed correctly, reinforcing Napoli's status as one of the division's most reliable performers.

Pisa vs Napoli Head-to-Head

Last 3 meetings between Pisa and Napoli: Pisa 0W · 0D · Napoli 3W.

0

0

3

Sun, May 17, 2026Pisa0-3Napoli
Mon, Sep 22, 2025Napoli3-2Pisa
Sat, Aug 18, 2007Napoli3-1Pisa

Pisa vs Napoli — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Pisa vs Napoli?

PredictNext's AI model favours Napoli with a 70% win probability — Pisa 11%, draw 19%, Napoli 70%.

What is the predicted score for Pisa vs Napoli?

The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Pisa vs Napoli, generated with 71% model confidence.

Will Pisa vs Napoli have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Pisa vs Napoli.

How accurate was the Pisa vs Napoli prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 0-3. The winner call was correct.

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