
Serie A · Matchday
2026-05-17 00:00:00 · 08:00

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 0-3
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Match Report
Pisa 0–3 Napoli | Serie A | 17 May 2026
Result Summary
Antonio Conte's Napoli delivered a commanding away performance at the Arena Garibaldi, dismantling Pisa 3–0 to secure all three points with minimal fuss. Goals from Scott McTominay, Amir Rrahmani, and late substitute Rasmus Højlund sealed a dominant victory that was rarely in doubt from the first quarter-hour onwards.
Match Analysis
Napoli controlled proceedings from the opening whistle, and the statistics paint an unambiguous picture of their superiority. Napoli commanded 76% possession against Pisa's 24%, completing passes at a 92% success rate compared to Pisa's 72%. The visitors launched 147 attacks to Pisa's 49 and created 47 dangerous attacks versus just 17 from the hosts — a gulf in class that manifested directly on the scoreboard.
The deadlock was broken in the 21st minute when Scott McTominay converted with a right-foot finish, assisted by Rasmus Højlund, showcasing the fluid interplay Conte's side had been building throughout the early exchanges. The lead was quickly doubled just six minutes later when Amir Rrahmani powered home a header from an Eljif Elmas delivery, effectively extinguishing any hope of a Pisa comeback before the half-hour mark.
Oscar Hiljemark's side offered very little in response. Pisa managed just 4 total shots — only 2 on target — and a solitary corner throughout the entire match. Their defensive structure was repeatedly exposed, conceding 6 corners and facing 5 shots on target from the visitors. The 13 fouls committed by Pisa also reflected the physical strain of a team trying to cope with relentless pressure.
The afternoon's flash point arrived in the 53rd minute, when both Arturo Calabresi (Pisa) and Eljif Elmas (Napoli) were booked following an argument, adding a brief moment of friction to what was otherwise a one-sided encounter. Conte then rotated his squad, introducing Kevin De Bruyne for Elmas in the 59th minute — a luxury only available to a side already well in control. Pisa responded with a wave of substitutions of their own, bringing on Juan Guillermo Cuadrado Bello, İsak Vural, and others, but the changes yielded no improvement in their output.
The third goal arrived in second-half stoppage time, with Rasmus Højlund — who had assisted the opener — completing the rout with a composed left-foot finish from a Pasquale Mazzocchi assist, capping a thoroughly professional away display.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a Napoli win by 0–2, assigning a 70% probability to an away victory with a confidence rating of 71/100. The outcome was correct — Napoli did win convincingly — though the final margin of 3–0 exceeded our predicted scoreline. The dominant possession figures and attacking volume Napoli produced were consistent with the reasoning behind our forecast, validating the underlying analysis even if the exact score ran slightly beyond expectations.
Key Takeaways
- Napoli's control was total: a 76%–24% possession split and 147 attacks underline just how one-sided this fixture was.
- McTominay and Rrahmani struck early to kill the contest, giving Pisa no foothold from which to build.
- Pisa's attacking output was critically low — 4 shots and 1 corner is simply insufficient against top-quality opposition.
- Conte's ability to rotate with players of De Bruyne's calibre mid-game speaks to the squad depth at Napoli's disposal.
- Our away win prediction landed correctly, reinforcing Napoli's status as one of the division's most reliable performers.
Pisa vs Napoli Head-to-Head
Last 3 meetings between Pisa and Napoli: Pisa 0W · 0D · Napoli 3W.
0
Pisa wins
0
Draws
3
Napoli wins
Pisa vs Napoli — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pisa vs Napoli?
PredictNext's AI model favours Napoli with a 70% win probability — Pisa 11%, draw 19%, Napoli 70%.
What is the predicted score for Pisa vs Napoli?
The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Pisa vs Napoli, generated with 71% model confidence.
Will Pisa vs Napoli have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Pisa vs Napoli.
How accurate was the Pisa vs Napoli prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 0-3. The winner call was correct.