
Serie A · Matchday
2026-05-24 00:00:00 · 08:00 · Stadio Olimpico

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AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 2-1
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Match Report
Lazio 2–1 Pisa | Serie A | 24 May 2026
Result Summary
Lazio secured a hard-fought 2–1 home victory over Pisa in a dramatic afternoon at the Stadio Olimpico. Maurizio Sarri's side found themselves behind after just 23 minutes but responded emphatically with two goals in the space of two minutes to turn the match on its head. The win keeps Lazio firmly in contention in Serie A, while Pisa will rue their inability to hold onto an early lead.
Match Analysis
The opening exchanges belonged to the visitors. Oscar Hiljemark's Pisa side carried a slight edge in possession — 51% to Lazio's 49% — and were aggressive in their attacking intent, registering 92 attacks to Lazio's 85. That pressure bore fruit in the 23rd minute when Stefano Moreo powered home a header, finishing smartly from an assist by Michel Aebischer to give Pisa a deserved lead.
Lazio's response, however, was swift and decisive. Despite an early yellow card for Mario Gila Fuentes in the 10th minute for a foul, Sarri's side kept their composure. Fisayo Dele-Bashiru drew Lazio level in the 33rd minute, converting a right-foot shot from a Reda Belahyane assist. The turnaround was completed just two minutes later when Pedro added a second with a composed left-foot finish, set up by Tijjani Noslin — who had himself been booked four minutes earlier. Two goals in 120 seconds completely flipped the narrative.
From that point forward, the statistics told a clear story of Lazio's growing dominance in the areas that mattered most. Sarri's side registered 15 shots in total to Pisa's 8, and more tellingly, 9 shots on target compared to just 2 from Pisa. Lazio's 33 dangerous attacks also exceeded Pisa's 23, suggesting that despite the visitors' higher overall attack count, Lazio were consistently creating more threatening chances.
The second half saw both sides rotate heavily. Pedro made way for Boulaye Dia at the hour mark, while Pisa introduced Juan Guillermo Cuadrado Bello and Felipe Ignacio Loyola Olea in search of an equaliser. Pisa's Gabriele Piccinini, introduced in the 62nd minute, was booked for handball in the 72nd minute — a moment that further disrupted the visitors' rhythm. Lazio managed the game well through the closing stages, with Daniel Maldini, Adrian Przyborek, and Manuel Lazzari all coming on to see out the result. Lazio's 5 corners to Pisa's 1 and their 88% passing accuracy — matched by Pisa — underline a controlled and professional performance once in front.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–0 Lazio victory with a confidence rating of 61/100, assigning the home side a 55% probability of winning. While the exact scoreline was off — the actual result being 2–1 — the directional outcome proved correct, with Lazio winning as anticipated. The match followed the expected pattern of Lazio's home advantage being the decisive factor, though Pisa's early goal added a layer of drama our model did not fully account for.
Key Takeaways
- Fisayo Dele-Bashiru and Pedro were the match-winners, combining for a rapid-fire comeback that defined the game.
- Reda Belahyane and Tijjani Noslin both played crucial roles as creators, with assists contributing to the turnaround.
- Pisa showed genuine quality through Aebischer and Moreo in the first half but could not sustain their threat after the interval.
- Sarri's squad depth proved invaluable, with a string of second-half substitutions maintaining control.
- 9 shots on target for Lazio against 2 for Pisa tells the full story of where the match's quality ultimately resided.
Lazio vs Pisa Head-to-Head
Last 1 meetings between Lazio and Pisa: Lazio 0W · 1D · Pisa 0W.
0
Lazio wins
1
Draws
0
Pisa wins
Lazio vs Pisa — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lazio vs Pisa?
PredictNext's AI model favours Lazio with a 55% win probability — Lazio 55%, draw 27%, Pisa 18%.
What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Pisa?
The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Lazio vs Pisa, generated with 61% model confidence.
Will Lazio vs Pisa have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in Lazio vs Pisa.
How accurate was the Lazio vs Pisa prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 2-1. The winner call was correct.