Eliteserien · Matchday
2026-05-25 15:00:00 · 23:00 · Briskeby Arena
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 2-0
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365VALUE | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.90 | +8.7% | -10.0% | -12.6% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 3.50 | 3.84 | 2.05 | +1.5% | -4.0% | -5.7% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 3.62 | 3.65 | 1.99 | +5.0% | -8.8% | -8.5% |
| WilliamHillVALUE | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.91 | +1.5% | -12.5% | -12.1% |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.00 | -7.2% | -15.0% | -8.0% |
| bwin | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.00 | -1.4% | -10.0% | -8.0% |
| Unibet | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.05 | -5.8% | -10.0% | -5.7% |
| Ladbrokes | 3.20 | 3.40 | 1.95 | -7.2% | -15.0% | -10.3% |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.65 | 2.12 | -4.3% | -8.8% | -2.5% |
| MarathonbetVALUE | 3.60 | 3.65 | 1.92 | +4.4% | -8.8% | -11.7% |
| 888Sport | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.95 | -1.4% | -12.5% | -10.3% |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.00 | -5.8% | -12.5% | -8.0% |
| Interwetten | 3.20 | 3.55 | 2.15 | -7.2% | -11.3% | -1.1% |
| MansionBetVALUE | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.23 | -10.1% | -10.0% | +2.6% |
| Macauslot | 2.95 | 3.55 | 2.00 | -14.4% | -11.3% | -8.0% |
| BetssonVALUE | 2.85 | 3.55 | 2.35 | -17.3% | -11.3% | +8.1% |
| Cashpoint | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.10 | -13.0% | -7.5% | -3.4% |
| SboVALUE | 3.54 | 3.55 | 1.90 | +2.7% | -11.3% | -12.6% |
| CloudBetVALUE | 3.50 | 3.80 | 2.01 | +1.5% | -5.0% | -7.5% |
| MelBet | 3.30 | 3.64 | 2.10 | -4.3% | -9.0% | -3.4% |
| Coral | 3.20 | 3.40 | 1.95 | -7.2% | -15.0% | -10.3% |
| 10BetVALUE | 3.65 | 3.65 | 1.91 | +5.8% | -8.8% | -12.1% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
HamKam 2–0 Lillestrøm | Eliteserien | 25 May 2026
Result Summary
HamKam produced a composed and disciplined home performance to claim a deserved 2–0 victory over Lillestrøm at Briskeby. Aksel Baran Potur was the undisputed match-winner, netting both goals with his left foot — the first in the 26th minute and the second in the 83rd — to secure all three points for Thomas Myhre's side and deliver one of the more eye-catching results of the Eliteserien round.
Match Analysis
The statistics paint a fascinating picture. Lillestrøm dominated large portions of the match in terms of volume — 60% possession, 112 attacks to HamKam's 88, and 74 dangerous attacks compared to just 38 for the hosts. They also generated more key passes (14 vs. 6) and fired more total shots (18 vs. 11). On paper, this was Hans Erik Ødegaard's side's game to control.
But football is ultimately decided by quality in front of goal, and that is where HamKam's superiority was stark. The hosts registered 9 shots on target against Lillestrøm's 4, while Lillestrøm squandered much of their pressure by directing 11 efforts off target. HamKam, in contrast, converted from just 1 wayward shot. It was ruthlessly clinical efficiency against volume without precision.
Potur's opener on 26 minutes gave HamKam an early platform and shifted the psychological dynamics of the match. Lillestrøm pushed for a response and grew into the game — their flurry of four substitutions between the 61st and 66th minutes, bringing on Karl Linus Alperud, Kparobo Nathaniel Arierhi, Kevin Martin Krygård, and Frederik Elkær, reflected Ødegaard's urgency to find a way back. However, the changes failed to unlock a resolute HamKam defensive structure.
HamKam also rotated heavily, with William Osnes-Ringen, Markus Johnsgård, Ilir Kukleci, and Snorre Strand Nilsen all introduced in the second half. The yellow cards shown to Ian Hoffmann (47') and Patrick Metcalfe (70') for fouls indicated HamKam were prepared to be physical when necessary to hold their lead. In the 83rd minute, substitute setup work led to Martin Gjone providing the assist for Potur's second goal — a left-foot finish that killed the contest and capped a superb individual display from the HamKam forward.
HamKam's 81% successful pass rate — not far behind Lillestrøm's 87% — suggests they were measured and purposeful rather than simply sitting deep and hoofing the ball clear.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast favoured a Lillestrøm victory (46% probability), with a predicted scoreline of 1–2. The confidence level of 56/100 reflected genuine uncertainty, but the model underestimated HamKam's capacity to punch above their statistical weight at home. Lillestrøm's superior possession and attacking volume aligned with our projections, but the prediction did not adequately account for HamKam's shot conversion efficiency or the individual brilliance that Potur would bring to the occasion. The prediction was incorrect, and this match serves as a timely reminder that dominance in underlying metrics does not guarantee goals.
Key Takeaways
- Aksel Baran Potur delivered a match-winning brace, both goals struck with his left foot — a clinical and decisive individual performance.
- Lillestrøm's high volume, low accuracy attacking display (11 shots off target) proved costly against an efficient HamKam side.
- Thomas Myhre's team showed tactical resilience, absorbing pressure and converting their limited opportunities with precision.
- Despite heavy Lillestrøm pressure, HamKam's 9 shots on target comfortably eclipsed the visitors' 4, highlighting where the match was truly won.
HamKam vs Lillestrøm Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between HamKam and Lillestrøm: HamKam 2W · 4D · Lillestrøm 7W.
2
HamKam wins
4
Draws
7
Lillestrøm wins
HamKam vs Lillestrøm — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win HamKam vs Lillestrøm?
PredictNext's AI model favours Lillestrøm with a 46% win probability — HamKam 29%, draw 25%, Lillestrøm 46%.
What is the predicted score for HamKam vs Lillestrøm?
The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for HamKam vs Lillestrøm, generated with 56% model confidence.
Will HamKam vs Lillestrøm have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in HamKam vs Lillestrøm.
How accurate was the HamKam vs Lillestrøm prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 2-0. The winner call was incorrect.