Gaziantep F.K.
Gaziantep F.K.
1 vs 2

Super Lig · Matchday

2026-05-17 00:00:00 · 08:00

İstanbul Başakşehir
İstanbul Başakşehir

AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 1-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Gaziantep F.K.
GAZ
1 - 2
İstanbul Başakşehir
İST
59%
Confidence
Low Confidence
27.0%Home
23.0%Draw
50.0%Away
**İstanbul Başakşehir** enter this Super Lig clash as clear favorites, having won four of the last five H2H meetings against **Gaziantep F.K.**, while the hosts are further weakened by T. Sanuç being ruled out through fitness concerns. Başakşehir's ability to control midfield transitions will be the decisive tactical factor, particularly against a depleted Gaziantep backline. AI pick: İstanbul Başakşehir Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
77% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
52% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
52% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Gaziantep F.K. İstanbul Başakşehir
38%
0%
0
48%
39%
1
15%
61%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

27%
25%
+1.6%
23%
23%
+0.3%
50%
52%
-1.9%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

Başakşehir Hold On for Vital Away Win in Gaziantep

İstanbul Başakşehir claimed all three points in Gaziantep on Sunday, edging out the hosts 2-1 in a hard-fought Super Lig encounter. Nuri Sahin's side showed resilience after an early setback to their own squad depth, while Mirel Radoi's Gaziantep pushed hard but ultimately fell short despite controlling large portions of the second half.

Match Analysis

Başakşehir drew first blood inside six minutes, with Davie Selke converting from a Abbosbek Fayzullaev assist via a right-foot finish. The early strike gave the visitors a platform to work from, though the lead came at a cost — Selke himself was withdrawn as early as the 26th minute, replaced by Nuno Miguel da Costa Jóia, suggesting a possible knock or precautionary measure from Sahin's bench.

Despite falling behind, Gaziantep were far from passive. The hosts controlled 53% of ball possession and generated 11 total shots compared to Başakşehir's nine, while their 37 dangerous attacks outpaced the visitors' 28. Radoi's team pressed forward with intent, earning six corners to Başakşehir's three. On paper, Gaziantep were the more threatening outfit for long stretches — they simply could not find the net in the first half.

The second half told a more dynamic story. A yellow card for Nazim Sangare on 52 minutes set a physical tone, and Başakşehir reshuffled again at the hour mark, sending on Ivan Brnić and Onur Ergün to replace Amine Harit and Miguel Crespo. Almost immediately, Gaziantep found their equaliser — Christopher Lungoyi, assisted by Deian Sorescu, drove home a right-foot finish on 59 minutes to make it 1-1 and breathe new life into the home crowd.

The match statistics told a story of two competitive but imperfect sides — both passing accuracy figures were near-identical (Gaziantep 87%, Başakşehir 86%), and key passes were similarly matched at eight versus seven. What ultimately separated the teams was clinical efficiency. Although the winning goal is not listed separately in the timeline beyond the final scoreline confirming a 2-1 result, Başakşehir secured the decisive goal to restore their advantage and then managed the game through a series of late substitutions, including Onur Bulut and Hamza Güreler coming on in the 81st minute.

Tensions flared late, with Sorescu picking up his yellow card on 75 minutes and Alexandru Iulian Maxim earning a booking in stoppage time for dissent, while Başakşehir's Muhammed Şengezer was cautioned for time-wasting — a sign of the visitors protecting what they had.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for an İstanbul Başakşehir victory with 50% probability, and a predicted scoreline of 1-2 — which proved exactly correct. With a confidence rating of 59/100, our model acknowledged the competitive nature of the fixture but correctly identified Başakşehir's quality on the road. The result validates the analysis that Gaziantep, despite home advantage and decent attacking output, would find it difficult to hold off a well-organised Başakşehir side.

Key Takeaways

  • Selke's early goal proved decisive despite his own early withdrawal from the match.
  • Lungoyi's equaliser demonstrated Gaziantep's fight, but their inability to push on proved costly.
  • Başakşehir's squad depth, evidenced by their five substitutions, allowed Sahin to manage the game effectively in the final stages.
  • Gaziantep's superior dangerous attack count (37 vs 28) underlines the frustration for Radoi — the hosts created enough to earn more from this contest.

Gaziantep F.K. vs İstanbul Başakşehir — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Gaziantep F.K. vs İstanbul Başakşehir?

PredictNext's AI model favours İstanbul Başakşehir (also known as Istanbul Basaksehir) with a 50% win probability — Gaziantep F.K. 27%, draw 23%, İstanbul Başakşehir 50%.

What is the predicted score for Gaziantep F.K. vs İstanbul Başakşehir?

The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Gaziantep F.K. vs İstanbul Başakşehir, generated with 59% model confidence.

Will Gaziantep F.K. vs İstanbul Başakşehir have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Gaziantep F.K. vs İstanbul Başakşehir.

How accurate was the Gaziantep F.K. vs İstanbul Başakşehir prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 1-2. The winner call was correct.

More Super Lig AI Predictions