Flamengo
Flamengo
0 vs 3

Serie A · Matchday

2026-05-24 00:00:00 · 08:00 · Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Palmeiras
Palmeiras

AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 0-3

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Flamengo
FLA
2 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
59%
Confidence
Low Confidence
51.0%Home
28.0%Draw
21.0%Away
Flamengo enter this Serie A clash as narrow favorites, boosted by multiple players cleared from the sidelined list ahead of kickoff, strengthening their squad depth. Their H2H record is compelling — three wins and two draws in the last five meetings against Palmeiras, with no losses. Home advantage and a resolute defensive structure could prove the decisive tactical edge in what projects as a tight, low-scoring contest. AI pick: Flamengo Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredFLA or Draw
79% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
56% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
58% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

FLA PAL
14%
37%
0
43%
63%
1
43%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

51%
52%
-1.2%
28%
29%
-0.4%
21%
19%
+1.6%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

Flamengo 0–3 Palmeiras | Série A | 24 May 2026

Result Summary

A dominant away performance from Palmeiras dismantled Flamengo at their own ground, with a commanding 3–0 victory that was as comprehensive as the scoreline suggests. Goals from J. López, Allan Andrade Elias, and late substitute Paulo Henrique Sampaio Filho sealed a statement win for Abel Ferreira's side, leaving Flamengo with serious questions to answer after a chaotic evening.

Match Analysis

The contest was effectively shaped in the first 21 minutes, when Flamengo's Jorge Carrascal received a red card for a foul, reducing the home side to ten men and fundamentally altering the dynamic of the match. From that point, Palmeiras had the platform to control the game, and they exploited it with clinical efficiency.

Despite playing a man down, Flamengo paradoxically generated more attacking volume — 22 total shots to Palmeiras' 12, with 83 dangerous attacks compared to Palmeiras' 28, and 8 corners to Palmeiras' 4. However, the critical distinction lay in quality over quantity: Flamengo managed only 3 shots on target, while Palmeiras registered 6. The numbers tell the story of a side that struggled to convert sustained pressure into genuine threat.

J. López broke the deadlock in the 38th minute, converting with a left-foot shot assisted by Allan, giving Palmeiras a well-timed lead heading into the interval. Coach Jardim made an immediate change at half-time, introducing Bruno Henrique Pinto for Evertton Araújo, but the structural damage from the red card proved insurmountable.

Allan Andrade Elias, who had contributed the assist for the opener, then became scorer himself in the 57th minute, finishing with his right foot to double Palmeiras' advantage and effectively end the contest. The match grew increasingly fractious — 19 fouls from Palmeiras and 9 from Flamengo, combined with a raft of yellow cards spread across both sides, reflected the mounting tension as the home side pressed desperately for a way back in.

Paulo Henrique Sampaio Filho, introduced as a substitute in the 81st minute, capped the evening in stoppage time, finishing from a Jefté assist in the 90+5th minute to complete an emphatic 3–0 scoreline. The injury-time bookings for Flamengo's Wallace Yan and Leonardo following an argument underscored the frustration within the home camp.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast leaned toward a Flamengo home win at 51% probability, with a predicted scoreline of 2–1 and a confidence level of 59/100 — reflecting the inherent uncertainty in this fixture. The prediction proved incorrect, with Palmeiras delivering a result that fell firmly in the least-expected outcome category at just 21%. The early red card to Carrascal was a pivotal, unpredictable event that fundamentally changed the match trajectory, though Palmeiras' clinical shot-conversion (6 on target from 12 shots) demonstrated they were well-organised regardless.

Key Takeaways

  • Carrascal's red card in the 21st minute proved the decisive turning point, leaving Flamengo to compete for over an hour with ten men
  • Palmeiras were ruthlessly efficient in front of goal — converting half their shots on target into goals against a depleted defence
  • Flamengo's volume of attack was misleading — 22 shots yielded only 3 on target, highlighting a lack of cutting edge
  • Allan Andrade Elias was central to Palmeiras' victory, contributing both an assist and a goal before being substituted
  • Abel Ferreira's side showed considerable tactical discipline and game management, with timely substitutions helping close out the match professionally

Flamengo vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Flamengo and Palmeiras: Flamengo 14W · 15D · Palmeiras 12W.

14

15

12

Sun, May 24, 2026Flamengo0-3Palmeiras
Sat, Nov 29, 2025Palmeiras0-1Flamengo
Sun, Oct 19, 2025Flamengo3-2Palmeiras
Sun, May 25, 2025Palmeiras0-2Flamengo
Sun, Aug 11, 2024Flamengo1-1Palmeiras

Flamengo vs Palmeiras — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Flamengo vs Palmeiras?

PredictNext's AI model favours Flamengo with a 51% win probability — Flamengo 51%, draw 28%, Palmeiras 21%.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Palmeiras?

The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Flamengo vs Palmeiras, generated with 59% model confidence.

Will Flamengo vs Palmeiras have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 44% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for under 2.5 goals in Flamengo vs Palmeiras.

How accurate was the Flamengo vs Palmeiras prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 0-3. The winner call was incorrect.

More Serie A AI Predictions