
Serie A · Matchday
2026-05-24 00:00:00 · 08:00 · Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 0-3
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Match Report
Flamengo 0–3 Palmeiras | Série A | 24 May 2026
Result Summary
A dominant away performance from Palmeiras dismantled Flamengo at their own ground, with a commanding 3–0 victory that was as comprehensive as the scoreline suggests. Goals from J. López, Allan Andrade Elias, and late substitute Paulo Henrique Sampaio Filho sealed a statement win for Abel Ferreira's side, leaving Flamengo with serious questions to answer after a chaotic evening.
Match Analysis
The contest was effectively shaped in the first 21 minutes, when Flamengo's Jorge Carrascal received a red card for a foul, reducing the home side to ten men and fundamentally altering the dynamic of the match. From that point, Palmeiras had the platform to control the game, and they exploited it with clinical efficiency.
Despite playing a man down, Flamengo paradoxically generated more attacking volume — 22 total shots to Palmeiras' 12, with 83 dangerous attacks compared to Palmeiras' 28, and 8 corners to Palmeiras' 4. However, the critical distinction lay in quality over quantity: Flamengo managed only 3 shots on target, while Palmeiras registered 6. The numbers tell the story of a side that struggled to convert sustained pressure into genuine threat.
J. López broke the deadlock in the 38th minute, converting with a left-foot shot assisted by Allan, giving Palmeiras a well-timed lead heading into the interval. Coach Jardim made an immediate change at half-time, introducing Bruno Henrique Pinto for Evertton Araújo, but the structural damage from the red card proved insurmountable.
Allan Andrade Elias, who had contributed the assist for the opener, then became scorer himself in the 57th minute, finishing with his right foot to double Palmeiras' advantage and effectively end the contest. The match grew increasingly fractious — 19 fouls from Palmeiras and 9 from Flamengo, combined with a raft of yellow cards spread across both sides, reflected the mounting tension as the home side pressed desperately for a way back in.
Paulo Henrique Sampaio Filho, introduced as a substitute in the 81st minute, capped the evening in stoppage time, finishing from a Jefté assist in the 90+5th minute to complete an emphatic 3–0 scoreline. The injury-time bookings for Flamengo's Wallace Yan and Leonardo following an argument underscored the frustration within the home camp.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast leaned toward a Flamengo home win at 51% probability, with a predicted scoreline of 2–1 and a confidence level of 59/100 — reflecting the inherent uncertainty in this fixture. The prediction proved incorrect, with Palmeiras delivering a result that fell firmly in the least-expected outcome category at just 21%. The early red card to Carrascal was a pivotal, unpredictable event that fundamentally changed the match trajectory, though Palmeiras' clinical shot-conversion (6 on target from 12 shots) demonstrated they were well-organised regardless.
Key Takeaways
- Carrascal's red card in the 21st minute proved the decisive turning point, leaving Flamengo to compete for over an hour with ten men
- Palmeiras were ruthlessly efficient in front of goal — converting half their shots on target into goals against a depleted defence
- Flamengo's volume of attack was misleading — 22 shots yielded only 3 on target, highlighting a lack of cutting edge
- Allan Andrade Elias was central to Palmeiras' victory, contributing both an assist and a goal before being substituted
- Abel Ferreira's side showed considerable tactical discipline and game management, with timely substitutions helping close out the match professionally
Flamengo vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Flamengo and Palmeiras: Flamengo 14W · 15D · Palmeiras 12W.
14
Flamengo wins
15
Draws
12
Palmeiras wins
Flamengo vs Palmeiras — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Flamengo vs Palmeiras?
PredictNext's AI model favours Flamengo with a 51% win probability — Flamengo 51%, draw 28%, Palmeiras 21%.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Palmeiras?
The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Flamengo vs Palmeiras, generated with 59% model confidence.
Will Flamengo vs Palmeiras have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 44% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for under 2.5 goals in Flamengo vs Palmeiras.
How accurate was the Flamengo vs Palmeiras prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 0-3. The winner call was incorrect.