Belgrano
Belgrano
2 vs 0

Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Matchday

2026-05-13 00:00:00 · 08:00

Unión Santa Fe
Unión Santa Fe

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 2-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Belgrano
BEL
1 - 0
Unión Santa Fe
UNI
58%
Confidence
Low Confidence
40.0%Home
31.5%Draw
28.5%Away
39.3%Home
31.9%Draw
28.9%Away
**Belgrano** enter this clash as narrow favorites, bolstered by a returning player cleared from the sidelined list, while **Unión Santa Fe** face disruption with both M. Aguirre and S. Longo ruled out through ankle injuries. Historically dominant in this fixture at home, Belgrano's defensive solidity will be key against a depleted visiting side. AI pick: Belgrano Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
72% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
70% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
66% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Belgrano Unión Santa Fe
23%
62%
0
46%
38%
1
31%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

40%
39%
+0.7%
32%
32%
-0.4%
28%
29%
-0.4%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

Belgrano Claim Comfortable Home Victory Over Unión Santa Fe

Belgrano 2 – 0 Unión Santa Fe | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 13 May 2026


Result Summary

Ricardo Zielinski's Belgrano secured a commanding home victory at the Estadio Gigante de Alberdi, defeating Unión Santa Fe 2-0 in a match that ultimately reflected the hosts' superiority in attacking intent and clinical finishing. Goals from Adrián Sánchez in the 65th minute and Ramiro Hernandes deep into stoppage time sealed three well-earned points, as Unión's disciplinary issues compounded a frustrating evening for Leonardo Madelón's side.


Match Analysis

For large stretches of the contest, the two sides were relatively evenly matched, with Belgrano holding 54% possession and generating 111 attacks to Unión Santa Fe's 94. The visitors actually enjoyed a slight edge in corner kicks — 7 to Belgrano's 4 — hinting at moments where they pressed into dangerous areas, yet they struggled to convert pressure into genuine threats on goal.

That contrast is best illustrated by the shot data: Belgrano registered 17 total shots with 8 on target, compared to Unión's 12 shots and just 4 on target. The home side was simply more precise and purposeful in the final third, while Unión's 8 shots off target underscored a lack of cutting edge.

The pivotal moment arrived in the 65th minute, when Adrián Sánchez converted a header from Emiliano Rigoni's assist to break the deadlock. The goal came just five minutes after Belgrano made a triple substitution — bringing on Agustín Falcón, Lautaro Gutiérrez, and Ramiro Hernandes — a bold tactical intervention from Zielinski that immediately paid dividends. Sánchez's header shifted the momentum irreversibly in Belgrano's favor.

Unión's response was frustrated and at times foul-prone. Marcelo Estigarribia picked up a yellow card in the 68th minute, followed by Lucas Menossi (76') and Franco Fragapane (86'), with Mateo Del Blanco booked in the 90+5th minute. The accumulation of four yellow cards reflected a team increasingly desperate and disorganized as the match wore on, conceding 8 fouls in total compared to Belgrano's disciplined 4.

With the clock expiring, Franco Vázquez — introduced in the 76th minute — provided the assist for substitute Ramiro Hernandes, who tucked home a right-foot strike in the 90+6th minute to put the result beyond any doubt. It was a fitting conclusion that rewarded the impact made by Belgrano's bench contributions.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1-0 Belgrano home win, assigning a 40% probability to a home victory against 28.5% for Unión Santa Fe. The prediction was correct in backing Belgrano, though the final margin of 2-0 exceeded our projected scoreline. With a confidence rating of 58/100, this was not a high-conviction call, and rightly so — Unión's corner count and attacking numbers suggested they were not without threat. However, Belgrano's superior shot accuracy and the decisive impact of their substitutions ultimately vindicated the home win prediction.


Key Takeaways

  • Belgrano's bench made the difference: Three simultaneous substitutions at the hour mark directly influenced both goals, with Hernandes scoring and Rigoni assisting before being replaced.
  • Unión Santa Fe's discipline was a concern: Four yellow cards in the second half highlights a team that lost composure under pressure.
  • Sánchez and Hernandes as impact players: Both featured significantly despite starting or being introduced mid-game, marking themselves as key contributors to Zielinski's system.
  • Belgrano's 80% successful pass rate versus Unión's 73% further reinforces the home side's overall technical quality on the night.

Belgrano vs Unión Santa Fe Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Belgrano and Unión Santa Fe: Belgrano 3W · 6D · Unión Santa Fe 0W.

3

6

0

Tue, May 12, 2026Belgrano2-0Unión Santa Fe
Mon, Nov 17, 2025Belgrano0-0Unión Santa Fe
Fri, May 2, 2025Unión Santa Fe1-1Belgrano
Fri, Aug 9, 2024Belgrano1-1Unión Santa Fe
Sat, Apr 8, 2023Unión Santa Fe0-3Belgrano

Belgrano vs Unión Santa Fe — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Belgrano vs Unión Santa Fe?

PredictNext's AI model favours Belgrano with a 40% win probability — Belgrano 40%, draw 32%, Unión Santa Fe 28%.

What is the predicted score for Belgrano vs Unión Santa Fe?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Belgrano vs Unión Santa Fe, generated with 58% model confidence.

Will Belgrano vs Unión Santa Fe have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 30% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for under 2.5 goals in Belgrano vs Unión Santa Fe.

How accurate was the Belgrano vs Unión Santa Fe prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 2-0. The winner call was correct.

More Liga Profesional de Fútbol AI Predictions